Edinburgh weather forecast

On the Firth of Forth with the Pentlands behind it: drier than the west of Scotland, but famously windy.

Edinburgh now, 13:15

9°Partly cloudy

Today 4° to 10°4 mph

Feels like: 7°C
Wind: 4 mph E
Gusts: 10 mph
Rain chance, next 12 h: 0%
Humidity: 82%
Dew point: 6°C
Cloud cover: 72%
Pressure: 1038 hPa
Visibility: Over 10 km
UV index: 0
Sunrise: 07:25
Sunset: 16:26

Source: Open-Meteo. Updated 4 Nov, 13:18. Model forecast for the city centre

Next 12 hours
Partly cloudy, staying dry
7 to 10°C, gusts up to 14 mph.
High confidence
Hour by hour
Next 5 days
Mostly dry, with rain on Saturday
Highs 7 to 10°C, about 6 mm of rain in total.
High confidence
Day by day
Days 6 to 15
A mix of wet and dry days
Most runs put highs between 4 and 13°C. Rain is favoured on 4 of 9 days.
Low confidence
See the model runs
Weeks 3 to 6
A little warmer than normal
A little wetter than normal, on average across the four weeks from Monday 16 November.
Leaning only
Week by week
December and January
A little milder than normal
From the seasonal model. It shifts the odds a little. Too vague to plan a date on.
Leaning only
Months ahead

Edinburgh hour by hour

The next three days. Temperature, chance of rain and wind for each hour.

Now9°Rain chance 0%4mph
14:009°Rain chance 0%5mph
15:0010°Rain chance 0%6mph
16:009°Rain chance 0%6mph
17:009°Rain chance 0%4mph
18:008°Rain chance 0%3mph
19:008°Rain chance 0%3mph
20:007°Rain chance 0%3mph
21:008°Rain chance 0%2mph
22:008°Rain chance 0%2mph
23:008°Rain chance 0%2mph
Thu 57°Rain chance 0%3mph
01:007°Rain chance 0%3mph
02:007°Rain chance 0%3mph
03:006°Rain chance 0%1mph
04:005°Rain chance 0%1mph
05:005°Rain chance 0%2mph
06:006°Rain chance 0%3mph
07:007°Rain chance 0%3mph
08:007°Rain chance 0%2mph
09:008°Rain chance 0%5mph
10:009°Rain chance 0%5mph
11:0010°Rain chance 0%7mph
12:0010°Rain chance 0%9mph
13:0010°Rain chance 1%10mph
14:0010°Rain chance 2%9mph
15:0010°Rain chance 2%8mph
16:0010°Rain chance 1%8mph
17:0010°Rain chance 0%5mph
18:0010°Rain chance 0%7mph
19:0010°Rain chance 1%6mph
20:009°Rain chance 3%8mph
21:0010°Rain chance 4%7mph
22:009°Rain chance 4%6mph
23:009°Rain chance 3%6mph
Fri 69°Rain chance 2%5mph
01:009°Rain chance 1%5mph
02:0010°Rain chance 1%7mph
03:009°Rain chance 0%4mph
04:009°Rain chance 0%5mph
05:008°Rain chance 0%3mph
06:008°Rain chance 0%3mph
07:009°Rain chance 0%3mph
08:009°Rain chance 0%3mph
09:009°Rain chance 0%6mph
10:009°Rain chance 1%5mph
11:0010°Rain chance 2%7mph
12:0010°Rain chance 2%8mph

From 5°C (Thu 05:00) to 10°C (Thu 13:00) over the next three days. Line is temperature, bars are rain per hour.

Edinburgh 14 day forecast

Mixed week, wettest on Saturday. Edinburgh peaks at 10°C on Thursday, and the coldest night drops to 2°C on Tuesday. Expect around 7mm of rain in total, falling across 2 days. Winds are strongest on Wednesday, north-easterly with gusts near 27mph.

Today4 Nov
Overcast. Dry. None of the 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
4°10°
Low 4°C, high 10°C, 80% of runs between 10 and 11°C, normal high 10°C.
6mphgusts 14High confidence
Tomorrow5 Nov
Overcast. Dry. None of the 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
5°10°
Low 5°C, high 10°C, 80% of runs between 9 and 10°C, normal high 9°C.
10mphgusts 21High confidence
Friday6 Nov
Drizzle. 0.7 mm in about 3 h. 1 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
8°10°
Low 8°C, high 10°C, 80% of runs between 10 and 10°C, normal high 9°C.
9mphgusts 18High confidence
Saturday7 Nov
Drizzle. 4.9 mm in about 19 h. 25 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
7°10°
Low 7°C, high 10°C, 80% of runs between 8 and 10°C, normal high 9°C.
5mphgusts 10Low confidence
Sunday8 Nov
Overcast. Dry. 20 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
5°9°
Low 5°C, high 9°C, 80% of runs between 8 and 9°C, normal high 9°C.
5mphgusts 10Medium confidence
Monday9 Nov
Overcast. Dry. 1 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
3°7°
Low 3°C, high 7°C, 80% of runs between 7 and 9°C, normal high 9°C.
5mphgusts 11High confidence
Tuesday10 Nov
Overcast. Dry. 22 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
2°6°
Low 2°C, high 6°C, 80% of runs between 7 and 10°C, normal high 9°C.
6mphgusts 13Low confidence
Wednesday11 Nov
Light drizzle. 1.2 mm in about 12 h. 33 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
6°9°
Low 6°C, high 9°C, 80% of runs between 5 and 11°C, normal high 9°C.
14mphgusts 27Medium confidence
Thursday12 Nov
Overcast. Dry. 19 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
2°7°
Low 2°C, high 7°C, 80% of runs between 4 and 10°C, normal high 9°C.
12mphgusts 26Medium confidence
Friday13 Nov
Snow showers. 0.6 mm in about 6 h. 11 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
2°6°
Low 2°C, high 6°C, 80% of runs between 4 and 10°C, normal high 9°C.
18mphgusts 38Medium confidence
Saturday14 Nov
Overcast. Dry. 14 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
1°5°
Low 1°C, high 5°C, 80% of runs between 4 and 11°C, normal high 9°C.
16mphgusts 36Low confidence
Sunday15 Nov
Overcast. Dry. 20 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
1°8°
Low 1°C, high 8°C, 80% of runs between 5 and 12°C, normal high 9°C.
15mphgusts 30Low confidence
Monday16 Nov
Overcast. Dry. 31 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
7°10°
Low 7°C, high 10°C, 80% of runs between 5 and 12°C, normal high 9°C.
14mphgusts 28Low confidence
Tuesday17 Nov
Overcast. Dry. 28 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
6°11°
Low 6°C, high 11°C, 80% of runs between 6 and 13°C, normal high 9°C.
11mphgusts 25Low confidence

Low to highWhere 80% of runs put the highNormal high, 1991 to 2020

Source: Open-Meteo, ECMWF and Copernicus ERA5. Updated 4 Nov, 13:18. Rain agreement and confidence from the 51-run ECMWF ensemble; normals 1991 to 2020

How far can you trust it?

Each faint line is one run of the ECMWF ensemble: the same model started 51 times with slightly different starting conditions. Where the lines bunch, the forecast is solid. Where they fan out, the weather is genuinely undecided. For Edinburgh, the runs part company from Saturday.

Most likely highMiddle 80% of runsNormal for the dateHighMediumLow confidence

Daytime high by day from the ensemble, with the range of runs, rain agreement and confidence
Day	Most likely high	Range (80% of runs)	Normal	Rain	Confidence
Today	10°C	10 to 11°C	10°C	None of the 51 runs give 1 mm or more	High
Thu 5 Nov	10°C	9 to 10°C	9°C	None of the 51 runs give 1 mm or more	High
Fri 6 Nov	10°C	10 to 10°C	9°C	1 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more	High
Sat 7 Nov	9°C	8 to 10°C	9°C	25 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more	Low
Sun 8 Nov	9°C	8 to 9°C	9°C	20 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more	Medium
Mon 9 Nov	8°C	7 to 9°C	9°C	1 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more	High
Tue 10 Nov	8°C	7 to 10°C	9°C	22 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more	Low
Wed 11 Nov	8°C	5 to 11°C	9°C	33 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more	Medium
Thu 12 Nov	7°C	4 to 10°C	9°C	19 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more	Medium
Fri 13 Nov	6°C	4 to 10°C	9°C	11 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more	Medium
Sat 14 Nov	7°C	4 to 11°C	9°C	14 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more	Low
Sun 15 Nov	8°C	5 to 12°C	9°C	20 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more	Low
Mon 16 Nov	9°C	5 to 12°C	9°C	31 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more	Low
Tue 17 Nov	9°C	6 to 13°C	9°C	28 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more	Low
Wed 18 Nov	9°C	5 to 13°C	9°C	26 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more	Low

Source: ECMWF and Open-Meteo. Updated 4 Nov, 13:18. ECMWF IFS 0.25° ensemble, updated every 6 hours

Edinburgh long range forecast: the next six weeks

Beyond two weeks no model can tell you about a single day, but it can tell you whether a whole week leans warmer, colder, wetter or drier than usual. These figures compare the ECMWF extended-range forecast with the same model's climate for the time of year.

This week
2 Nov to 8 Nov
Close to normal
−0.1°C
Drier than normal
−14 mm
Temperatures close to normal, drier than normal.
Next week
9 Nov to 15 Nov
Close to normal
−0.4°C
A little drier than normal
−3 mm
Temperatures close to normal, a little drier than normal.
Week 3
16 Nov to 22 Nov
A little warmer than normal
+1.4°C
A little wetter than normal
+3 mm
A little warmer than normal, a little wetter than normal.
Week 4
23 Nov to 29 Nov
A little warmer than normal
+0.6°C
A little wetter than normal
+3 mm
A little warmer than normal, a little wetter than normal.
Week 5
30 Nov to 6 Dec
A little warmer than normal
+0.5°C
A little wetter than normal
+2 mm
A little warmer than normal, a little wetter than normal.
Week 6
7 Dec to 13 Dec
Close to normal
+0.4°C
Close to normal rainfall
+1 mm
No clear signal either way: expect typical weather for the time of year.

Source: ECMWF and Open-Meteo. Updated 4 Nov, 13:18. ECMWF EC46 extended range, 51 runs, updated daily

Months ahead

The seasonal model nudges the odds for whole months. Over the UK its skill is modest, so treat a leaning as a slight tilt and anything within half a degree as no signal at all.

Monthly temperature and rainfall leaning against normal, ECMWF SEAS5
Month	Temperature	Against normal	Rainfall	Against normal
November 2026	Close to normal	+0.3°C	Close to normal rainfall	+6 mm
December 2026	A little milder than normal	+0.8°C	A little wetter than normal	+12 mm
January 2027	A little milder than normal	+0.6°C	Close to normal rainfall	+2 mm
February 2027	Close to normal	+0.4°C	Close to normal rainfall	+5 mm
March 2027	A little warmer than normal	+0.6°C	Close to normal rainfall	+4 mm
April 2027	A little warmer than normal	+0.9°C	A little wetter than normal	+8 mm

Source: ECMWF and Open-Meteo. Updated 4 Nov, 13:18. ECMWF SEAS5, 51 runs, updated on the 5th of each month

How accurate are long range forecasts?

Air quality and pollen in Edinburgh

European AQI now: 24 (Fair)
Fine particles (PM2.5): 2 µg/m³
UV index now: 1
Highest pollen: Very low

Source: Copernicus CAMS and Open-Meteo. Updated 4 Nov, 13:18. Model estimates from CAMS

Edinburgh climate: what is normal?

Edinburgh sits on the south shore of the Firth of Forth, with the Pentland Hills to the south-west and Arthur's Seat in the middle of the city. Westerly weather has crossed the length of Scotland before arriving, so the capital is far drier than Glasgow.

The firth opens the city to the east. In spring and early summer, haar from the North Sea can blanket Leith and Portobello for days while the west of the city is bright, and winter easterlies bring raw, cold days.

What to watch for in Edinburgh

Wind. The city's hills and exposed position make gusts a big part of the forecast. On a westerly, the funnel between the hills can make streets feel much windier than the average suggests.
Haar. A light easterly in spring or summer often means fog along the coast. Inland suburbs and the Pentlands can be clear.
Short winter days. At this latitude, December daylight is under seven hours. The sunrise and sunset times on this page are calculated for the city.

Average highAverage lowRain, mm a month

Across 1991 to 2020, Edinburgh averaged 817 mm of rain a year over about 156 wet days, and about 2585 hours of sunshine. The wettest month was October, the driest April. The warmest day in the record for this grid point reached 29°C (25 Jul 2019).

Edinburgh: monthly averages 1991 to 2020 from the ERA5 reanalysis
Month	High	Low	Rain	Days with 1 mm+	Sunshine	Frost nights
January	5.9°C	1.9°C	74 mm	14	109 h	8
February	6.5°C	1.7°C	62 mm	12	151 h	8
March	8.1°C	2.4°C	60 mm	13	210 h	6
April	10.5°C	4.0°C	54 mm	12	271 h	2
May	13.3°C	6.6°C	57 mm	13	330 h	0
June	15.8°C	9.5°C	68 mm	14	305 h	0
July	17.7°C	11.4°C	73 mm	14	311 h	0
August	17.4°C	11.3°C	77 mm	13	283 h	0
September	15.3°C	9.6°C	61 mm	11	227 h	0
October	11.8°C	7.0°C	81 mm	13	172 h	0
November	8.4°C	4.1°C	73 mm	14	124 h	3
December	6.1°C	2.0°C	77 mm	14	92 h	8

Source: Copernicus ERA5 and Open-Meteo. ERA5 reanalysis grid values for the city, 1991 to 2020; these are not Met Office station averages

Edinburgh weather questions

Will it rain in Edinburgh this week?

How reliable is the 14 day forecast for Edinburgh?

The 51 ECMWF runs agree well for the first few days, then spread out. From Saturday 7 Nov confidence is low: by the last day, the middle 80% of runs put the high between 5 and 13°C.

What is the weather usually like in Edinburgh in November?

From 1991 to 2020, November in Edinburgh averaged a high of 8.4°C and a low of 4.1°C, with about 73 mm of rain over 14 wet days (ERA5 reanalysis).

What makes Edinburgh's weather different?