Long Range Weather

UK weather this weekend

Saturday 7 Nov is the better day in 1 of our 11 cities, Sunday in 10. The weekend is close enough for the detail to be fairly reliable.

Saturday or Sunday?

CitySaturdaySundayBetter dayConfidence
LondonDrizzle11° Drizzle, 4.2 mm, gusts 9Overcast10° Overcast, 0.0 mm, gusts 8SundayMedium
ManchesterLight drizzle9° Light drizzle, 0.6 mm, gusts 5Overcast8° Overcast, 0.0 mm, gusts 6SundayMedium
BirminghamOvercast9° Overcast, 0.0 mm, gusts 7Overcast9° Overcast, 0.0 mm, gusts 7SundayMedium
LiverpoolOvercast9° Overcast, 0.0 mm, gusts 9Fog7° Fog, 0.0 mm, gusts 9SaturdayLow
LeedsLight drizzle9° Light drizzle, 0.9 mm, gusts 7Overcast9° Overcast, 0.0 mm, gusts 9SundayLow
NewcastleLight drizzle10° Light drizzle, 0.7 mm, gusts 8Overcast9° Overcast, 0.0 mm, gusts 17SundayLow
BristolOvercast10° Overcast, 0.0 mm, gusts 9Mostly clear11° Mostly clear, 0.0 mm, gusts 11SundayHigh
CardiffOvercast10° Overcast, 0.0 mm, gusts 9Mostly clear11° Mostly clear, 0.0 mm, gusts 13SundayMedium
EdinburghDrizzle10° Drizzle, 4.9 mm, gusts 10Overcast9° Overcast, 0.0 mm, gusts 10SundayLow
GlasgowDrizzle9° Drizzle, 4.4 mm, gusts 13Light drizzle9° Light drizzle, 1.6 mm, gusts 9SundayLow
BelfastOvercast10° Overcast, 0.0 mm, gusts 7Fog8° Fog, 0.0 mm, gusts 7SundayLow

Source: Open-Meteo and ECMWF. Updated

Saturday on the map

Highest temperature on Saturday

London: 11°11°Manchester: 9°9°Birmingham: 9°9°Newcastle: 10°10°Bristol: 10°10°Edinburgh: 10°10°Belfast: 10°10°Aberdeen: 11°11°Inverness: 9°9°Fort William: 8°8°Stornoway: 10°10°Lerwick: 9°9°Dumfries: 10°10°Hull: 9°9°Norwich: 11°11°Brighton: 12°12°Exeter: 11°11°Penzance: 12°12°Aberystwyth: 10°10°Bangor: 10°10°Enniskillen: 10°10°
Highest temperature on Saturday
As a list
  • London11°C
  • Manchester8.5°C
  • Birmingham8.5°C
  • Liverpool8.5°C
  • Leeds8.8°C
  • Newcastle10°C
  • Bristol9.7°C
  • Cardiff10.2°C
  • Edinburgh10°C
  • Glasgow9.3°C
  • Belfast10°C
  • Aberdeen10.5°C
  • Inverness8.9°C
  • Fort William8°C
  • Stornoway10.1°C
  • Lerwick9.2°C
  • Dundee10.3°C
  • Dumfries10.3°C
  • Carlisle10.7°C
  • Hull9.1°C
  • Nottingham8.4°C
  • Norwich10.5°C
  • Cambridge10°C
  • Southampton11.8°C
  • Brighton12.1°C
  • Exeter11°C
  • Plymouth11.2°C
  • Penzance12°C
  • Swansea10.4°C
  • Aberystwyth9.9°C
  • Bangor9.9°C
  • Derry9.9°C
  • Enniskillen9.7°C

Rain on Saturday, mm

London: 44Manchester: 0.60.6Birmingham: 0.00.0Newcastle: 0.70.7Bristol: 0.00.0Edinburgh: 55Glasgow: 44Belfast: 0.00.0Aberdeen: 22Inverness: 0.20.2Fort William: 22Stornoway: 0.00.0Lerwick: 0.00.0Dumfries: 0.50.5Hull: 0.00.0Norwich: 0.50.5Cambridge: 22Southampton: 22Brighton: 66Exeter: 0.00.0Penzance: 0.00.0Aberystwyth: 0.50.5Bangor: 0.00.0Derry: 11Enniskillen: 22
Rain on Saturday, mm
As a list
  • London4.2 mm
  • Manchester0.6 mm
  • Birmingham0 mm
  • Liverpool0 mm
  • Leeds0.9 mm
  • Newcastle0.7 mm
  • Bristol0 mm
  • Cardiff0 mm
  • Edinburgh4.9 mm
  • Glasgow4.4 mm
  • Belfast0 mm
  • Aberdeen2.1 mm
  • Inverness0.2 mm
  • Fort William2 mm
  • Stornoway0 mm
  • Lerwick0 mm
  • Dundee1.3 mm
  • Dumfries0.5 mm
  • Carlisle0 mm
  • Hull0 mm
  • Nottingham0 mm
  • Norwich0.5 mm
  • Cambridge2.2 mm
  • Southampton1.8 mm
  • Brighton6.1 mm
  • Exeter0 mm
  • Plymouth0.3 mm
  • Penzance0 mm
  • Swansea0 mm
  • Aberystwyth0.5 mm
  • Bangor0 mm
  • Derry1.2 mm
  • Enniskillen1.8 mm

Strongest gust on Saturday, mph

London: 99Manchester: 55Birmingham: 77Newcastle: 88Bristol: 99Edinburgh: 1010Belfast: 77Aberdeen: 1313Inverness: 88Fort William: 55Stornoway: 1010Lerwick: 77Dumfries: 77Hull: 1111Norwich: 1010Cambridge: 99Southampton: 1010Brighton: 1616Exeter: 1010Penzance: 66Swansea: 77Aberystwyth: 1111Bangor: 66Derry: 66Enniskillen: 77
Strongest gust on Saturday, mph
As a list
  • London8.9 mph
  • Manchester5.1 mph
  • Birmingham6.9 mph
  • Liverpool8.7 mph
  • Leeds6.7 mph
  • Newcastle8.1 mph
  • Bristol9.4 mph
  • Cardiff8.9 mph
  • Edinburgh9.8 mph
  • Glasgow13.2 mph
  • Belfast7.4 mph
  • Aberdeen13.2 mph
  • Inverness8.1 mph
  • Fort William4.9 mph
  • Stornoway9.8 mph
  • Lerwick7.4 mph
  • Dundee15.7 mph
  • Dumfries6.5 mph
  • Carlisle8.5 mph
  • Hull11 mph
  • Nottingham9.6 mph
  • Norwich9.8 mph
  • Cambridge9.4 mph
  • Southampton10.1 mph
  • Brighton16.3 mph
  • Exeter10.1 mph
  • Plymouth12.1 mph
  • Penzance5.8 mph
  • Swansea6.7 mph
  • Aberystwyth10.5 mph
  • Bangor5.6 mph
  • Derry5.6 mph
  • Enniskillen6.7 mph

Weekend weather: questions

How do you pick the better day?

From fixed rules: a day scores higher for warmth and lower for rain amount, rain chance and gusts over 20 mph. Every page uses the same rule, so two pages never pick different days.

Why does the weekend forecast change during the week?

Five or six days ahead, the model runs still disagree about where rain bands and areas of high pressure will sit. The confidence column shows how much they agree today; by Thursday the picture is usually much firmer.