Long Range Weather

Glasgow weather forecast

On the Clyde, facing the Atlantic: mild and wet, with fronts arriving fast from the west.

Glasgow now, 13:15

9°OvercastOvercast

Today 5° to 10°9 mph

Feels like
6°C
Wind
9 mph ENE
Gusts
18 mph
Rain chance, next 12 h
0%
Humidity
73%
Dew point
5°C
Cloud cover
88%
Pressure
1037 hPa
Visibility
Over 10 km
UV index
0
Sunrise
07:29
Sunset
16:30

Source: Open-Meteo. Updated . Model forecast for the city centre

The outlook at a glance

  1. Next 12 hours

    Overcast, staying dry

    8 to 10°C, gusts up to 20 mph.

    High confidence

    Hour by hour

  2. Next 5 days

    Mixed week, wettest on Saturday

    Highs 7 to 10°C, about 6 mm of rain in total.

    High confidence

    Day by day

  3. Days 6 to 15

    A mix of wet and dry days

    Most runs put highs between 4 and 13°C. Rain is favoured on 4 of 9 days.

    Low confidence

    See the model runs

  4. Weeks 3 to 6

    A little warmer than normal

    A little wetter than normal, on average across the four weeks from Monday 16 November.

    Leaning only

    Week by week

  5. December and January

    A little milder than normal

    From the seasonal model. It shifts the odds a little. Too vague to plan a date on.

    Leaning only

    Months ahead

Glasgow hour by hour

The next three days. Temperature, chance of rain and wind for each hour.
  1. NowOvercast9°Rain chance 0%8mph
  2. 14:00Partly cloudy10°Rain chance 0%9mph
  3. 15:00Partly cloudy10°Rain chance 0%9mph
  4. 16:00Partly cloudy9°Rain chance 0%7mph
  5. 17:00Overcast9°Rain chance 0%6mph
  6. 18:00Overcast9°Rain chance 0%7mph
  7. 19:00Partly cloudy8°Rain chance 0%6mph
  8. 20:00Clear sky8°Rain chance 0%5mph
  9. 21:00Overcast8°Rain chance 0%7mph
  10. 22:00Partly cloudy8°Rain chance 0%6mph
  11. 23:00Clear sky8°Rain chance 0%7mph
  12. Thu 5Clear sky8°Rain chance 0%6mph
  13. 01:00Clear sky7°Rain chance 0%4mph
  14. 02:00Clear sky7°Rain chance 0%3mph
  15. 03:00Clear sky6°Rain chance 0%2mph
  16. 04:00Clear sky6°Rain chance 0%1mph
  17. 05:00Partly cloudy6°Rain chance 0%2mph
  18. 06:00Partly cloudy6°Rain chance 0%1mph
  19. 07:00Partly cloudy6°Rain chance 0%2mph
  20. 08:00Partly cloudy7°Rain chance 0%5mph
  21. 09:00Clear sky7°Rain chance 0%5mph
  22. 10:00Partly cloudy8°Rain chance 0%7mph
  23. 11:00Partly cloudy9°Rain chance 0%8mph
  24. 12:00Overcast10°Rain chance 0%7mph
  25. 13:00Overcast10°Rain chance 0%9mph
  26. 14:00Overcast10°Rain chance 0%10mph
  27. 15:00Overcast10°Rain chance 0%10mph
  28. 16:00Overcast10°Rain chance 0%9mph
  29. 17:00Overcast10°Rain chance 0%7mph
  30. 18:00Partly cloudy9°Rain chance 0%9mph
  31. 19:00Overcast9°Rain chance 1%9mph
  32. 20:00Overcast9°Rain chance 3%7mph
  33. 21:00Overcast9°Rain chance 4%8mph
  34. 22:00Overcast9°Rain chance 4%7mph
  35. 23:00Overcast9°Rain chance 3%7mph
  36. Fri 6Overcast9°Rain chance 2%4mph
  37. 01:00Overcast9°Rain chance 2%5mph
  38. 02:00Overcast9°Rain chance 2%5mph
  39. 03:00Overcast9°Rain chance 2%7mph
  40. 04:00Partly cloudy9°Rain chance 2%6mph
  41. 05:00Overcast8°Rain chance 2%5mph
  42. 06:00Overcast9°Rain chance 2%6mph
  43. 07:00Overcast9°Rain chance 2%4mph
  44. 08:00Overcast9°Rain chance 2%4mph
  45. 09:00Overcast9°Rain chance 2%5mph
  46. 10:00Overcast9°Rain chance 2%6mph
  47. 11:00Overcast10°Rain chance 2%8mph
  48. 12:00Partly cloudy10°Rain chance 2%9mph
ThuFriSat4°8°12°13:0019:0001:0007:0013:0019:0001:0007:0013:0019:0001:0007:00
From 6°C (Thu 04:00) to 10°C (Thu 13:00) over the next three days. Line is temperature, bars are rain per hour.

Glasgow 14 day forecast

Mixed week, wettest on Saturday. Glasgow peaks at 10°C on Thursday, and the coldest night drops to 1°C on Tuesday. Expect around 6mm of rain in total, falling across 2 days. Winds are strongest on Wednesday, north-easterly with gusts near 22mph.

Glasgow daily forecast

  1. OvercastToday4 Nov
    Overcast. Dry. None of the 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    5°10°

    Low 5°C, high 10°C, 80% of runs between 10 and 11°C, normal high 10°C.

    9mphgusts 20High confidence
  2. OvercastTomorrow5 Nov
    Overcast. Dry. None of the 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    5°10°

    Low 5°C, high 10°C, 80% of runs between 10 and 11°C, normal high 9°C.

    10mphgusts 21High confidence
  3. OvercastFriday6 Nov
    Overcast. Dry. 1 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    8°10°

    Low 8°C, high 10°C, 80% of runs between 10 and 11°C, normal high 9°C.

    9mphgusts 18High confidence
  4. DrizzleSaturday7 Nov
    Drizzle. 4.4 mm in about 20 h. 25 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    7°9°

    Low 7°C, high 9°C, 80% of runs between 8 and 10°C, normal high 9°C.

    7mphgusts 13Low confidence
  5. Light drizzleSunday8 Nov
    Light drizzle. 1.6 mm in about 10 h. 8 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    3°9°

    Low 3°C, high 9°C, 80% of runs between 8 and 10°C, normal high 9°C.

    5mphgusts 9High confidence
  6. FogMonday9 Nov
    Fog. Dry. 1 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    4°7°

    Low 4°C, high 7°C, 80% of runs between 7 and 9°C, normal high 9°C.

    3mphgusts 5High confidence
  7. FogTuesday10 Nov
    Fog. Dry. 20 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    1°6°

    Low 1°C, high 6°C, 80% of runs between 6 and 10°C, normal high 9°C.

    4mphgusts 8Medium confidence
  8. FogWednesday11 Nov
    Fog. Dry. 25 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    3°8°

    Low 3°C, high 8°C, 80% of runs between 6 and 10°C, normal high 9°C.

    10mphgusts 22Low confidence
  9. Light drizzleThursday12 Nov
    Light drizzle. 0.5 mm in about 5 h. 13 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    -1°7°

    Low -1°C, high 7°C, 80% of runs between 5 and 10°C, normal high 9°C.

    7mphgusts 21Medium confidence
  10. Snow showersFriday13 Nov
    Snow showers. 0.7 mm in about 7 h. 12 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    1°6°

    Low 1°C, high 6°C, 80% of runs between 4 and 10°C, normal high 9°C.

    12mphgusts 33Medium confidence
  11. OvercastSaturday14 Nov
    Overcast. Dry. 19 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    1°5°

    Low 1°C, high 5°C, 80% of runs between 5 and 11°C, normal high 9°C.

    12mphgusts 28Low confidence
  12. OvercastSunday15 Nov
    Overcast. Dry. 27 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    1°9°

    Low 1°C, high 9°C, 80% of runs between 5 and 12°C, normal high 9°C.

    11mphgusts 23Low confidence
  13. OvercastMonday16 Nov
    Overcast. Dry. 38 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    6°11°

    Low 6°C, high 11°C, 80% of runs between 5 and 12°C, normal high 9°C.

    10mphgusts 22Low confidence
  14. Light drizzleTuesday17 Nov
    Light drizzle. 0.6 mm in about 6 h. 36 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    5°9°

    Low 5°C, high 9°C, 80% of runs between 6 and 13°C, normal high 9°C.

    6mphgusts 21Low confidence

Low to highWhere 80% of runs put the highNormal high, 1991 to 2020

Source: Open-Meteo, ECMWF and Copernicus ERA5. Updated . Rain agreement and confidence from the 51-run ECMWF ensemble; normals 1991 to 2020

How far can you trust it?

Each faint line is one run of the ECMWF ensemble: the same model started 51 times with slightly different starting conditions. Where the lines bunch, the forecast is solid. Where they fan out, the weather is genuinely undecided. For Glasgow, the runs part company from Saturday.
0°4°8°12°16°RainTodayThuFriSatSunMonTueWedThuFriSatSunMonTueWed
Most likely highMiddle 80% of runsNormal for the dateHighMediumLow confidence

Glasgow: daytime highs from 51 runs of the ECMWF ensemble over 15 days. The most likely high runs from 10°C today to 9°C on Wed 18 Nov, and by then the middle 80% of runs spans 5°C to 13°C. Confidence drops to low from Sat 7 Nov.

Daytime high by day from the ensemble, with the range of runs, rain agreement and confidence
DayMost likely highRange (80% of runs)NormalRainConfidence
Today10°C10 to 11°C10°CNone of the 51 runs give 1 mm or moreHigh
Thu 5 Nov10°C10 to 11°C9°CNone of the 51 runs give 1 mm or moreHigh
Fri 6 Nov10°C10 to 11°C9°C1 of 51 runs give 1 mm or moreHigh
Sat 7 Nov9°C8 to 10°C9°C25 of 51 runs give 1 mm or moreLow
Sun 8 Nov9°C8 to 10°C9°C8 of 51 runs give 1 mm or moreHigh
Mon 9 Nov8°C7 to 9°C9°C1 of 51 runs give 1 mm or moreHigh
Tue 10 Nov8°C6 to 10°C9°C20 of 51 runs give 1 mm or moreMedium
Wed 11 Nov8°C6 to 10°C9°C25 of 51 runs give 1 mm or moreLow
Thu 12 Nov7°C5 to 10°C9°C13 of 51 runs give 1 mm or moreMedium
Fri 13 Nov7°C4 to 10°C9°C12 of 51 runs give 1 mm or moreMedium
Sat 14 Nov8°C5 to 11°C9°C19 of 51 runs give 1 mm or moreLow
Sun 15 Nov9°C5 to 12°C9°C27 of 51 runs give 1 mm or moreLow
Mon 16 Nov10°C5 to 12°C9°C38 of 51 runs give 1 mm or moreLow
Tue 17 Nov9°C6 to 13°C9°C36 of 51 runs give 1 mm or moreLow
Wed 18 Nov9°C5 to 13°C9°C32 of 51 runs give 1 mm or moreLow

Source: ECMWF and Open-Meteo. Updated . ECMWF IFS 0.25° ensemble, updated every 6 hours

Glasgow long range forecast: the next six weeks

Beyond two weeks no model can tell you about a single day, but it can tell you whether a whole week leans warmer, colder, wetter or drier than usual. These figures compare the ECMWF extended-range forecast with the same model's climate for the time of year.

  1. This week

    2 Nov to 8 Nov

    A little colder than normal

    −1.0°C

    Drier than normal

    −32 mm

    A little colder than normal, drier than normal.

  2. Next week

    9 Nov to 15 Nov

    A little colder than normal

    −0.7°C

    Drier than normal

    −15 mm

    A little colder than normal, drier than normal.

  3. Week 3

    16 Nov to 22 Nov

    A little warmer than normal

    +1.4°C

    Wetter than normal

    +11 mm

    A little warmer than normal, wetter than normal.

  4. Week 4

    23 Nov to 29 Nov

    A little warmer than normal

    +0.7°C

    Wetter than normal

    +6 mm

    A little warmer than normal, wetter than normal.

  5. Week 5

    30 Nov to 6 Dec

    Close to normal

    +0.4°C

    Close to normal rainfall

    +1 mm

    No clear signal either way: expect typical weather for the time of year.

  6. Week 6

    7 Dec to 13 Dec

    Close to normal

    +0.4°C

    Close to normal rainfall

    +1 mm

    No clear signal either way: expect typical weather for the time of year.

Source: ECMWF and Open-Meteo. Updated . ECMWF EC46 extended range, 51 runs, updated daily

Months ahead

The seasonal model nudges the odds for whole months. Over the UK its skill is modest, so treat a leaning as a slight tilt and anything within half a degree as no signal at all.
Monthly temperature and rainfall leaning against normal, ECMWF SEAS5
MonthTemperatureAgainst normalRainfallAgainst normal
November 2026Close to normal+0.2°CClose to normal rainfall−3 mm
December 2026A little milder than normal+0.7°CA little wetter than normal+19 mm
January 2027A little milder than normal+0.6°CClose to normal rainfall−6 mm
February 2027A little milder than normal+0.5°CClose to normal rainfall−1 mm
March 2027A little warmer than normal+0.6°CA little wetter than normal+9 mm
April 2027A little warmer than normal+0.9°CA little wetter than normal+12 mm

Source: ECMWF and Open-Meteo. Updated . ECMWF SEAS5, 51 runs, updated on the 5th of each month

How accurate are long range forecasts?

Air quality and pollen in Glasgow

European AQI now
25 (Fair)
Fine particles (PM2.5)
4 µg/m³
UV index now
1
Highest pollen
Very low

Source: Copernicus CAMS and Open-Meteo. Updated . Model estimates from CAMS

Glasgow climate: what is normal?

Glasgow lies in the Clyde valley, open to the Atlantic to the west and shielded by the Campsie Fells to the north. Weather systems arriving from the ocean reach the city early and bring frequent rain, making it much wetter than Edinburgh.

The ocean also keeps winters mild for a city this far north. Snow settles more readily on the higher ground around the city than in the centre, and fog can form along the Clyde on still nights.

What to watch for in Glasgow

  • Fronts arrive fast. Atlantic fronts reach the west of Scotland first, so timing in the forecast matters: a dry morning can turn wet within an hour.
  • Showery westerlies. Behind a front, showers stream in from the Firth of Clyde, sometimes with hail and thunder in winter.
  • Colder on the hills. Snow often covers the Campsies, the Kilpatricks and the high ground of Lanarkshire before the city centre.
117Jan98Feb88Mar75Apr80May86Jun94Jul105Aug86Sep113Oct107Nov115Dec0°10°19°mm
Average highAverage lowRain, mm a month

Glasgow, 1991 to 2020 averages: warmest in July (average high 17.6°C), coldest in February (average low 1.2°C). Bars show average monthly rainfall.

Across 1991 to 2020, Glasgow averaged 1164 mm of rain a year over about 182 wet days, and about 2436 hours of sunshine. The wettest month was January, the driest April. The warmest day in the record for this grid point reached 28.6°C (28 Jun 2018).

Glasgow: monthly averages 1991 to 2020 from the ERA5 reanalysis
MonthHighLowRainDays with 1 mm+SunshineFrost nights
January5.9°C1.3°C117 mm1799 h11
February6.5°C1.2°C98 mm15137 h11
March8.2°C2.0°C88 mm15193 h9
April10.8°C3.5°C75 mm14255 h4
May13.8°C6.2°C80 mm14319 h0
June16.1°C9.2°C86 mm14290 h0
July17.6°C11.0°C94 mm16291 h0
August17.3°C10.8°C105 mm16272 h0
September15.2°C9.0°C86 mm14213 h0
October11.8°C6.3°C113 mm16165 h1
November8.4°C3.5°C107 mm16115 h6
December6.0°C1.3°C115 mm1687 h11

Source: Copernicus ERA5 and Open-Meteo. ERA5 reanalysis grid values for the city, 1991 to 2020; these are not Met Office station averages

Glasgow weather questions

Will it rain in Glasgow this week?

Mixed week, wettest on Saturday. Glasgow peaks at 10°C on Thursday, and the coldest night drops to 1°C on Tuesday. Expect around 6mm of rain in total, falling across 2 days. Winds are strongest on Wednesday, north-easterly with gusts near 22mph.

How reliable is the 14 day forecast for Glasgow?

The 51 ECMWF runs agree well for the first few days, then spread out. From Saturday 7 Nov confidence is low: by the last day, the middle 80% of runs put the high between 5 and 13°C.

What is the weather usually like in Glasgow in November?

From 1991 to 2020, November in Glasgow averaged a high of 8.4°C and a low of 3.5°C, with about 107 mm of rain over 16 wet days (ERA5 reanalysis).

What makes Glasgow's weather different?

Glasgow lies in the Clyde valley, open to the Atlantic to the west and shielded by the Campsie Fells to the north. Weather systems arriving from the ocean reach the city early and bring frequent rain, making it much wetter than Edinburgh.