Newcastle weather forecast
On the Tyne, a few miles from the North Sea, where sea fret and a cold easterly can turn a fine day grey.
Newcastle now, 13:15
Today 6° to 11°11 mph
- Feels like
- 7°C
- Wind
- 11 mph ENE
- Gusts
- 21 mph
- Rain chance, next 12 h
- 47%
- Humidity
- 77%
- Dew point
- 7°C
- Cloud cover
- 96%
- Pressure
- 1036 hPa
- Visibility
- Over 10 km
- UV index
- 0
- Sunrise
- 07:16
- Sunset
- 16:23
Source: Open-Meteo. Updated . Model forecast for the city centre
The outlook at a glance
Next 12 hours
Overcast, staying dry
9 to 11°C, gusts up to 21 mph.
High confidence
Hour by hourNext 5 days
Dry all week
Highs 8 to 11°C, about 2 mm of rain in total.
High confidence
Day by dayDays 6 to 15
A mix of wet and dry days
Most runs put highs between 5 and 13°C. Rain is favoured on 3 of 9 days.
Low confidence
See the model runsWeeks 3 to 6
A little warmer than normal
A little wetter than normal, on average across the four weeks from Monday 16 November.
Leaning only
Week by weekDecember and January
A little milder than normal
From the seasonal model. It shifts the odds a little. Too vague to plan a date on.
Leaning only
Months ahead
Newcastle hour by hour
- Now10°Rain chance 46%11mph
- 14:0011°Rain chance 47%10mph
- 15:0010°Rain chance 43%10mph
- 16:0010°Rain chance 32%9mph
- 17:009°Rain chance 16%8mph
- 18:009°Rain chance 4%8mph
- 19:009°Rain chance 0%7mph
- 20:009°Rain chance 0%9mph
- 21:009°Rain chance 0%7mph
- 22:009°Rain chance 0%8mph
- 23:009°Rain chance 0%8mph
- Thu 59°Rain chance 0%7mph
- 01:009°Rain chance 0%9mph
- 02:009°Rain chance 0%11mph
- 03:009°Rain chance 0%8mph
- 04:009°Rain chance 1%9mph
- 05:0010°Rain chance 2%9mph
- 06:0010°Rain chance 4%9mph
- 07:009°Rain chance 5%9mph
- 08:0010°Rain chance 6%10mph
- 09:0010°Rain chance 10%11mph
- 10:0010°Rain chance 19%10mph
- 11:0011°Rain chance 30%11mph
- 12:0011°Rain chance 37%11mph
- 13:0011°Rain chance 36%11mph
- 14:0010°Rain chance 31%12mph
- 15:0010°Rain chance 24%10mph
- 16:0010°Rain chance 16%7mph
- 17:0010°Rain chance 6%7mph
- 18:0010°Rain chance 0%6mph
- 19:0010°Rain chance 0%9mph
- 20:0010°Rain chance 1%9mph
- 21:0010°Rain chance 2%7mph
- 22:0010°Rain chance 2%8mph
- 23:0010°Rain chance 2%6mph
- Fri 69°Rain chance 2%6mph
- 01:009°Rain chance 2%6mph
- 02:009°Rain chance 2%6mph
- 03:009°Rain chance 2%7mph
- 04:0010°Rain chance 1%6mph
- 05:0010°Rain chance 0%7mph
- 06:009°Rain chance 0%6mph
- 07:009°Rain chance 1%7mph
- 08:009°Rain chance 3%5mph
- 09:0010°Rain chance 4%7mph
- 10:0010°Rain chance 3%9mph
- 11:0011°Rain chance 1%9mph
- 12:0011°Rain chance 0%10mph
Newcastle 14 day forecast
Newcastle daily forecast
- Today4 NovLight drizzle. Little or no rain. 21 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.6°11°
Low 6°C, high 11°C, 80% of runs between 11 and 11°C, normal high 11°C.
11mphgusts 21Low confidence - Tomorrow5 NovLight drizzle. 0.7 mm in about 4 h. 14 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.9°11°
Low 9°C, high 11°C, 80% of runs between 11 and 11°C, normal high 10°C.
12mphgusts 25Medium confidence - Friday6 NovLight drizzle. 0.8 mm in about 2 h. 2 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.9°11°
Low 9°C, high 11°C, 80% of runs between 11 and 12°C, normal high 10°C.
11mphgusts 19High confidence - Saturday7 NovLight drizzle. 0.7 mm in about 4 h. 27 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.8°10°
Low 8°C, high 10°C, 80% of runs between 9 and 11°C, normal high 10°C.
5mphgusts 8Low confidence - Sunday8 NovOvercast. Dry. 33 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.6°9°
Low 6°C, high 9°C, 80% of runs between 9 and 10°C, normal high 10°C.
9mphgusts 17Medium confidence - Monday9 NovOvercast. Dry. 6 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.4°8°
Low 4°C, high 8°C, 80% of runs between 8 and 10°C, normal high 10°C.
6mphgusts 11High confidence - Tuesday10 NovLight drizzle. 1.1 mm in about 11 h. 23 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.3°8°
Low 3°C, high 8°C, 80% of runs between 8 and 11°C, normal high 10°C.
7mphgusts 14Low confidence - Wednesday11 NovLight drizzle. 0.7 mm in about 7 h. 37 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.7°10°
Low 7°C, high 10°C, 80% of runs between 7 and 12°C, normal high 10°C.
11mphgusts 26Medium confidence - Thursday12 NovOvercast. Dry. 26 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.3°8°
Low 3°C, high 8°C, 80% of runs between 6 and 11°C, normal high 9°C.
10mphgusts 22Low confidence - Friday13 NovPartly cloudy. Dry. 18 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.1°6°
Low 1°C, high 6°C, 80% of runs between 5 and 11°C, normal high 9°C.
15mphgusts 35Low confidence - Saturday14 NovMostly clear. Dry. 14 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.1°5°
Low 1°C, high 5°C, 80% of runs between 5 and 11°C, normal high 9°C.
14mphgusts 35Low confidence - Sunday15 NovOvercast. Dry. 17 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.1°8°
Low 1°C, high 8°C, 80% of runs between 6 and 13°C, normal high 9°C.
13mphgusts 28Low confidence - Monday16 NovLight drizzle. 0.5 mm in about 5 h. 22 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.6°10°
Low 6°C, high 10°C, 80% of runs between 5 and 12°C, normal high 9°C.
13mphgusts 32Low confidence - Tuesday17 NovLight drizzle. Little or no rain. 30 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.4°11°
Low 4°C, high 11°C, 80% of runs between 6 and 13°C, normal high 9°C.
10mphgusts 28Low confidence
Low to highWhere 80% of runs put the highNormal high, 1991 to 2020
Source: Open-Meteo, ECMWF and Copernicus ERA5. Updated . Rain agreement and confidence from the 51-run ECMWF ensemble; normals 1991 to 2020
How far can you trust it?
Newcastle: daytime highs from 51 runs of the ECMWF ensemble over 15 days. The most likely high runs from 11°C today to 9°C on Wed 18 Nov, and by then the middle 80% of runs spans 5°C to 13°C. Confidence drops to low from Wed 4 Nov.
| Day | Most likely high | Range (80% of runs) | Normal | Rain | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 11°C | 11 to 11°C | 11°C | 21 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more | Low |
| Thu 5 Nov | 11°C | 11 to 11°C | 10°C | 14 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more | Medium |
| Fri 6 Nov | 11°C | 11 to 12°C | 10°C | 2 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more | High |
| Sat 7 Nov | 10°C | 9 to 11°C | 10°C | 27 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more | Low |
| Sun 8 Nov | 10°C | 9 to 10°C | 10°C | 33 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more | Medium |
| Mon 9 Nov | 9°C | 8 to 10°C | 10°C | 6 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more | High |
| Tue 10 Nov | 10°C | 8 to 11°C | 10°C | 23 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more | Low |
| Wed 11 Nov | 10°C | 7 to 12°C | 10°C | 37 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more | Medium |
| Thu 12 Nov | 8°C | 6 to 11°C | 9°C | 26 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more | Low |
| Fri 13 Nov | 8°C | 5 to 11°C | 9°C | 18 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more | Low |
| Sat 14 Nov | 8°C | 5 to 11°C | 9°C | 14 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more | Low |
| Sun 15 Nov | 9°C | 6 to 13°C | 9°C | 17 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more | Low |
| Mon 16 Nov | 9°C | 5 to 12°C | 9°C | 22 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more | Low |
| Tue 17 Nov | 9°C | 6 to 13°C | 9°C | 30 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more | Low |
| Wed 18 Nov | 9°C | 5 to 13°C | 9°C | 22 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more | Low |
Source: ECMWF and Open-Meteo. Updated . ECMWF IFS 0.25° ensemble, updated every 6 hours
Newcastle long range forecast: the next six weeks
This week
2 Nov to 8 Nov
A little warmer than normal
+0.5°C
Drier than normal
−10 mm
A little warmer than normal, drier than normal.
Next week
9 Nov to 15 Nov
Close to normal
+0.1°C
Close to normal rainfall
+1 mm
No clear signal either way: expect typical weather for the time of year.
Week 3
16 Nov to 22 Nov
A little warmer than normal
+1.4°C
Close to normal rainfall
−0 mm
A little warmer than normal, rainfall close to normal.
Week 4
23 Nov to 29 Nov
A little warmer than normal
+0.6°C
A little wetter than normal
+3 mm
A little warmer than normal, a little wetter than normal.
Week 5
30 Nov to 6 Dec
A little warmer than normal
+0.6°C
A little wetter than normal
+2 mm
A little warmer than normal, a little wetter than normal.
Week 6
7 Dec to 13 Dec
A little milder than normal
+0.5°C
Close to normal rainfall
+2 mm
A little milder than normal, rainfall close to normal.
Source: ECMWF and Open-Meteo. Updated . ECMWF EC46 extended range, 51 runs, updated daily
Months ahead
| Month | Temperature | Against normal | Rainfall | Against normal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | A little warmer than normal | +0.5°C | A little wetter than normal | +11 mm |
| December 2026 | A little milder than normal | +0.9°C | A little wetter than normal | +12 mm |
| January 2027 | A little milder than normal | +0.7°C | A little wetter than normal | +9 mm |
| February 2027 | A little milder than normal | +0.5°C | A little wetter than normal | +5 mm |
| March 2027 | A little warmer than normal | +0.6°C | Close to normal rainfall | +3 mm |
| April 2027 | A little warmer than normal | +0.9°C | A little wetter than normal | +6 mm |
Source: ECMWF and Open-Meteo. Updated . ECMWF SEAS5, 51 runs, updated on the 5th of each month
Air quality and pollen in Newcastle
- European AQI now
- 23 (Fair)
- Fine particles (PM2.5)
- 2 µg/m³
- UV index now
- 0
- Highest pollen
- Very low
Source: Copernicus CAMS and Open-Meteo. Updated . Model estimates from CAMS
Newcastle climate: what is normal?
Newcastle lies on the north bank of the Tyne, close to the North Sea coast and in the lee of the Pennines and the Cheviots. Westerly weather has crossed the hills by the time it arrives, so the city is relatively dry and often sunnier than the west.
The North Sea is the wild card. In spring and early summer, warm air over the cold sea makes haar (sea fret) that can roll up the Tyne and hold the coast in fog while inland Northumberland is in sunshine.
What to watch for in Newcastle
- Sea fret. If the forecast shows a light easterly in spring or early summer, expect the coast and the lower Tyne to be cooler and greyer than the numbers for inland places suggest.
- Cold easterlies in winter. Winter's coldest days here usually come with an easterly off the North Sea, with snow showers possible on the coast.
- Shelter from the west. Atlantic fronts weaken as they cross the Pennines, so many wet days in the west are just cloudy here.
Newcastle, 1991 to 2020 averages: warmest in July (average high 18.6°C), coldest in February (average low 1.9°C). Bars show average monthly rainfall.
Across 1991 to 2020, Newcastle averaged 680 mm of rain a year over about 141 wet days, and about 2819 hours of sunshine. The wettest month was August, the driest March. The warmest day in the record for this grid point reached 28°C (21 Aug 1995).
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Days with 1 mm+ | Sunshine | Frost nights |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 6.3°C | 2.0°C | 54 mm | 12 | 120 h | 8 |
| February | 6.8°C | 1.9°C | 47 mm | 11 | 162 h | 8 |
| March | 8.6°C | 2.6°C | 45 mm | 11 | 232 h | 6 |
| April | 10.8°C | 4.1°C | 51 mm | 11 | 289 h | 2 |
| May | 13.6°C | 6.8°C | 48 mm | 11 | 349 h | 0 |
| June | 16.3°C | 9.7°C | 64 mm | 12 | 328 h | 0 |
| July | 18.6°C | 11.8°C | 64 mm | 12 | 352 h | 0 |
| August | 18.3°C | 11.8°C | 69 mm | 13 | 314 h | 0 |
| September | 16.0°C | 9.8°C | 55 mm | 10 | 246 h | 0 |
| October | 12.5°C | 7.3°C | 60 mm | 12 | 191 h | 0 |
| November | 8.9°C | 4.4°C | 63 mm | 13 | 132 h | 3 |
| December | 6.5°C | 2.3°C | 60 mm | 13 | 104 h | 8 |
Source: Copernicus ERA5 and Open-Meteo. ERA5 reanalysis grid values for the city, 1991 to 2020; these are not Met Office station averages
Newcastle weather questions
Will it rain in Newcastle this week?
Mostly dry, with rain on Tuesday. Newcastle peaks at 11°C on Thursday, and the coldest night drops to 3°C on Tuesday. Expect around 4mm of rain in total, falling across 1 day. Winds are strongest on Wednesday, north-easterly with gusts near 26mph.
How reliable is the 14 day forecast for Newcastle?
The 51 ECMWF runs agree well for the first few days, then spread out. From Wednesday 4 Nov confidence is low: by the last day, the middle 80% of runs put the high between 5 and 13°C.
What is the weather usually like in Newcastle in November?
From 1991 to 2020, November in Newcastle averaged a high of 8.9°C and a low of 4.4°C, with about 63 mm of rain over 13 wet days (ERA5 reanalysis).
What makes Newcastle's weather different?
Newcastle lies on the north bank of the Tyne, close to the North Sea coast and in the lee of the Pennines and the Cheviots. Westerly weather has crossed the hills by the time it arrives, so the city is relatively dry and often sunnier than the west.