Long Range Weather

UK weather tomorrow

Thursday 5 Nov. The warmest spot is Plymouth at 12°C and the coldest night is in Fort William at 3°C. The wettest place is Plymouth with about 3 mm; 7 of our 11 cities stay largely dry. Gusts peak near 29 mph at Plymouth.

Tomorrow against today

The difference in the afternoon high from today, and how strongly the 51 ECMWF runs agree on rain.
CityTomorrowHigh / lowAgainst todayRain agreementConfidence
LondonOvercastOvercast11° / 9°Same5 of 51 runs give 1 mm or moreHigh
ManchesterOvercastOvercast12° / 8°1° coolerNone of the 51 runs give 1 mm or moreHigh
BirminghamOvercastOvercast10° / 6°1° coolerNone of the 51 runs give 1 mm or moreHigh
LiverpoolOvercastOvercast12° / 7°1° coolerNone of the 51 runs give 1 mm or moreHigh
LeedsLight drizzleLight drizzle11° / 9°1° cooler1 of 51 runs give 1 mm or moreHigh
NewcastleLight drizzleLight drizzle11° / 9°Same14 of 51 runs give 1 mm or moreMedium
BristolLight drizzleLight drizzle11° / 8°Same4 of 51 runs give 1 mm or moreHigh
CardiffLight drizzleLight drizzle11° / 8°Same25 of 51 runs give 1 mm or moreLow
EdinburghOvercastOvercast10° / 5°1° warmerNone of the 51 runs give 1 mm or moreHigh
GlasgowOvercastOvercast10° / 5°1° warmerNone of the 51 runs give 1 mm or moreHigh
BelfastDrizzleDrizzle12° / 9°1° warmer27 of 51 runs give 1 mm or moreLow

Source: Open-Meteo and ECMWF. Updated

Tomorrow on the map

Highest temperature tomorrow

London: 11°11°Manchester: 12°12°Birmingham: 10°10°Newcastle: 11°11°Bristol: 11°11°Edinburgh: 10°10°Belfast: 12°12°Aberdeen: 11°11°Inverness: 9°9°Fort William: 10°10°Stornoway: 10°10°Lerwick: 10°10°Dumfries: 11°11°Hull: 12°12°Norwich: 11°11°Brighton: 11°11°Exeter: 12°12°Penzance: 12°12°Aberystwyth: 10°10°Bangor: 11°11°Enniskillen: 11°11°
Highest temperature tomorrow
As a list
  • London11.4°C
  • Manchester11.5°C
  • Birmingham9.8°C
  • Liverpool11.5°C
  • Leeds11.2°C
  • Newcastle10.9°C
  • Bristol11°C
  • Cardiff10.9°C
  • Edinburgh10.1°C
  • Glasgow10.2°C
  • Belfast11.9°C
  • Aberdeen10.5°C
  • Inverness9.1°C
  • Fort William10°C
  • Stornoway10°C
  • Lerwick10.1°C
  • Dundee10.4°C
  • Dumfries11.4°C
  • Carlisle11.2°C
  • Hull11.5°C
  • Nottingham10.6°C
  • Norwich10.8°C
  • Cambridge11.5°C
  • Southampton11.3°C
  • Brighton11°C
  • Exeter11.9°C
  • Plymouth12.1°C
  • Penzance11.6°C
  • Swansea10.9°C
  • Aberystwyth10.4°C
  • Bangor10.9°C
  • Derry10.1°C
  • Enniskillen11.3°C

Rain tomorrow, mm

London: 0.00.0Manchester: 0.00.0Birmingham: 0.00.0Newcastle: 0.70.7Bristol: 0.50.5Edinburgh: 0.00.0Belfast: 0.60.6Aberdeen: 0.60.6Inverness: 0.00.0Fort William: 0.00.0Stornoway: 0.00.0Lerwick: 0.00.0Dumfries: 0.00.0Hull: 0.00.0Norwich: 0.00.0Southampton: 11Brighton: 0.30.3Exeter: 11Penzance: 11Aberystwyth: 0.00.0Bangor: 0.00.0Enniskillen: 22
Rain tomorrow, mm
As a list
  • London0 mm
  • Manchester0 mm
  • Birmingham0 mm
  • Liverpool0 mm
  • Leeds0.1 mm
  • Newcastle0.7 mm
  • Bristol0.5 mm
  • Cardiff1.2 mm
  • Edinburgh0 mm
  • Glasgow0 mm
  • Belfast0.6 mm
  • Aberdeen0.6 mm
  • Inverness0 mm
  • Fort William0 mm
  • Stornoway0 mm
  • Lerwick0 mm
  • Dundee0 mm
  • Dumfries0 mm
  • Carlisle0.3 mm
  • Hull0 mm
  • Nottingham0 mm
  • Norwich0 mm
  • Cambridge0 mm
  • Southampton1.1 mm
  • Brighton0.3 mm
  • Exeter1 mm
  • Plymouth3 mm
  • Penzance1 mm
  • Swansea0 mm
  • Aberystwyth0 mm
  • Bangor0 mm
  • Derry0.1 mm
  • Enniskillen2.2 mm

Strongest gust tomorrow, mph

London: 2222Manchester: 1919Birmingham: 1919Newcastle: 2525Bristol: 1919Edinburgh: 2121Belfast: 2323Aberdeen: 1515Inverness: 1010Fort William: 1515Stornoway: 99Lerwick: 55Dumfries: 2121Hull: 2323Norwich: 2323Cambridge: 1919Southampton: 2121Brighton: 2525Exeter: 2222Penzance: 2626Swansea: 2020Aberystwyth: 1515Bangor: 2828Derry: 1717Enniskillen: 2020
Strongest gust tomorrow, mph
As a list
  • London21.7 mph
  • Manchester18.8 mph
  • Birmingham19.2 mph
  • Liverpool19.7 mph
  • Leeds22.1 mph
  • Newcastle24.6 mph
  • Bristol19.2 mph
  • Cardiff23.3 mph
  • Edinburgh21 mph
  • Glasgow21 mph
  • Belfast22.8 mph
  • Aberdeen15.4 mph
  • Inverness10.3 mph
  • Fort William15 mph
  • Stornoway8.5 mph
  • Lerwick4.5 mph
  • Dundee23.5 mph
  • Dumfries21 mph
  • Carlisle21.7 mph
  • Hull22.6 mph
  • Nottingham20.4 mph
  • Norwich23 mph
  • Cambridge18.8 mph
  • Southampton20.6 mph
  • Brighton24.6 mph
  • Exeter22.1 mph
  • Plymouth29.3 mph
  • Penzance25.5 mph
  • Swansea19.7 mph
  • Aberystwyth15 mph
  • Bangor28.4 mph
  • Derry16.6 mph
  • Enniskillen19.5 mph

Tomorrow's weather: questions

How accurate is tomorrow's forecast?

Usually reliable for temperature and for whether the day will be wet or dry. The exact timing of showers is the weak point: a shower forecast for one town can land on the next one.

What does 'x of 51 runs give 1 mm or more' mean?

The ECMWF model is run 51 times with slightly different starting conditions. If 40 of those runs give at least 1 mm of rain tomorrow, rain is very likely; if 25 do, it could go either way.

What is the weather tomorrow across the UK?

The warmest spot is Plymouth at 12°C and the coldest night is in Fort William at 3°C. The wettest place is Plymouth with about 3 mm; 7 of our 11 cities stay largely dry. Gusts peak near 29 mph at Plymouth.