Long Range Weather

Swansea weather forecast

South Wales

Swansea now, 14:00

11°OvercastOvercast

Today 9° to 11°14 mph

Feels like
6°C
Wind
14 mph ENE
Gusts
25 mph
Rain chance, next 12 h
0%
Humidity
64%
Dew point
4°C
Cloud cover
94%
Pressure
1029 hPa
Visibility
Over 10 km
UV index
0
Sunrise
07:14
Sunset
16:43

Source: Open-Meteo. Updated . Model forecast for this point

Hour by hour

  1. NowOvercast11°Rain chance 0%14mph
  2. 15:00Overcast11°Rain chance 0%11mph
  3. 16:00Clear sky11°Rain chance 0%13mph
  4. 17:00Overcast10°Rain chance 0%9mph
  5. 18:00Overcast10°Rain chance 0%7mph
  6. 19:00Overcast10°Rain chance 0%9mph
  7. 20:00Mostly clear10°Rain chance 0%11mph
  8. 21:00Overcast10°Rain chance 0%12mph
  9. 22:00Overcast9°Rain chance 0%12mph
  10. 23:00Overcast9°Rain chance 0%9mph
  11. Thu 5Overcast9°Rain chance 0%8mph
  12. 01:00Overcast9°Rain chance 0%9mph
  13. 02:00Overcast9°Rain chance 0%8mph
  14. 03:00Overcast9°Rain chance 0%9mph
  15. 04:00Overcast9°Rain chance 0%8mph
  16. 05:00Overcast9°Rain chance 0%10mph
  17. 06:00Overcast9°Rain chance 0%11mph
  18. 07:00Overcast9°Rain chance 0%10mph
  19. 08:00Overcast8°Rain chance 0%11mph
  20. 09:00Overcast9°Rain chance 0%13mph
  21. 10:00Overcast9°Rain chance 0%12mph
  22. 11:00Partly cloudy10°Rain chance 0%11mph
  23. 12:00Partly cloudy11°Rain chance 0%11mph
  24. 13:00Partly cloudy11°Rain chance 0%10mph
  25. 14:00Partly cloudy11°Rain chance 0%10mph
  26. 15:00Overcast11°Rain chance 0%9mph
  27. 16:00Partly cloudy11°Rain chance 0%7mph
  28. 17:00Overcast10°Rain chance 0%7mph
  29. 18:00Overcast10°Rain chance 0%6mph
  30. 19:00Overcast10°Rain chance 0%7mph
  31. 20:00Overcast9°Rain chance 0%7mph
  32. 21:00Overcast9°Rain chance 0%7mph
  33. 22:00Overcast9°Rain chance 7%5mph
  34. 23:00Overcast9°Rain chance 17%5mph
  35. Fri 6Partly cloudy9°Rain chance 24%6mph
  36. 01:00Partly cloudy9°Rain chance 24%7mph
  37. 02:00Partly cloudy8°Rain chance 20%8mph
  38. 03:00Clear sky8°Rain chance 16%8mph
  39. 04:00Partly cloudy7°Rain chance 12%7mph
  40. 05:00Overcast7°Rain chance 7%8mph
  41. 06:00Overcast8°Rain chance 4%8mph
  42. 07:00Overcast8°Rain chance 3%9mph
  43. 08:00Light drizzle8°Rain chance 2%8mph
  44. 09:00Light drizzle8°Rain chance 2%7mph
  45. 10:00Light drizzle8°Rain chance 1%5mph
  46. 11:00Overcast9°Rain chance 0%4mph
  47. 12:00Overcast10°Rain chance 0%3mph
  48. 13:00Overcast10°Rain chance 1%4mph

14 days

Swansea daily forecast

  1. OvercastToday4 Nov
    Overcast. Dry. None of the 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    9°11°

    Low 9°C, high 11°C, 80% of runs between 10 and 11°C.

    14mphgusts 25High confidence
  2. OvercastTomorrow5 Nov
    Overcast. Dry. None of the 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    8°11°

    Low 8°C, high 11°C, 80% of runs between 10 and 11°C.

    13mphgusts 22High confidence
  3. Light drizzleFriday6 Nov
    Light drizzle. 0.8 mm in about 3 h. 11 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    7°11°

    Low 7°C, high 11°C, 80% of runs between 10 and 12°C.

    9mphgusts 15Medium confidence
  4. OvercastSaturday7 Nov
    Overcast. Dry. 11 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    5°10°

    Low 5°C, high 10°C, 80% of runs between 10 and 11°C.

    4mphgusts 7Medium confidence
  5. OvercastSunday8 Nov
    Overcast. Dry. 4 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    5°12°

    Low 5°C, high 12°C, 80% of runs between 10 and 11°C.

    6mphgusts 11High confidence
  6. OvercastMonday9 Nov
    Overcast. Dry. 9 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    6°10°

    Low 6°C, high 10°C, 80% of runs between 10 and 11°C.

    12mphgusts 24High confidence
  7. Light rainTuesday10 Nov
    Light rain. 15.0 mm in about 18 h. 39 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    9°10°

    Low 9°C, high 10°C, 80% of runs between 9 and 15°C.

    15mphgusts 30Low confidence
  8. Light drizzleWednesday11 Nov
    Light drizzle. 1.2 mm in about 12 h. 38 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    9°11°

    Low 9°C, high 11°C, 80% of runs between 9 and 15°C.

    14mphgusts 32Low confidence
  9. Light drizzleThursday12 Nov
    Light drizzle. 1.2 mm in about 6 h. 20 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    4°10°

    Low 4°C, high 10°C, 80% of runs between 8 and 13°C.

    13mphgusts 25Medium confidence
  10. OvercastFriday13 Nov
    Overcast. Dry. 18 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    3°8°

    Low 3°C, high 8°C, 80% of runs between 8 and 13°C.

    13mphgusts 31Medium confidence
  11. Light drizzleSaturday14 Nov
    Light drizzle. 1.7 mm in about 17 h. 20 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    4°7°

    Low 4°C, high 7°C, 80% of runs between 7 and 13°C.

    13mphgusts 28Medium confidence
  12. Light drizzleSunday15 Nov
    Light drizzle. 0.7 mm in about 7 h. 21 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    4°9°

    Low 4°C, high 9°C, 80% of runs between 8 and 14°C.

    6mphgusts 22Low confidence
  13. OvercastMonday16 Nov
    Overcast. Dry. 28 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    3°9°

    Low 3°C, high 9°C, 80% of runs between 8 and 13°C.

    5mphgusts 11Low confidence
  14. Mostly clearTuesday17 Nov
    Mostly clear. Dry. 29 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more.
    1°9°

    Low 1°C, high 9°C, 80% of runs between 8 and 14°C.

    6mphgusts 11Low confidence

Low to highWhere 80% of runs put the highNormal high, 1991 to 2020

How far can you trust it?

The runs agree on the broad picture, less on the detail. 18 of 51 runs give 1 mm or more on day 10.
4°8°12°16°RainTodayThuFriSatSunMonTueWedThuFriSatSunMonTueWed
Most likely highMiddle 80% of runsNormal for the dateHighMediumLow confidence

Swansea: daytime highs from 51 runs of the ECMWF ensemble over 15 days. The most likely high runs from 11°C today to 11°C on Wed 18 Nov, and by then the middle 80% of runs spans 7°C to 14°C. Confidence drops to low from Tue 10 Nov.

Source: ECMWF and Open-Meteo. Updated